A target price (TP) is an analyst's published estimate of where a share should trade by a stated horizon — here, mostly December 2026. It is one house's model output, not a promise: houses disagree, sometimes by 40% on the same stock, and targets move when results, rates or commodity prices change. Read the range and the dates, not just the biggest number. PSX Analytics does not issue its own target prices yet — everything below is the named house's figure, attributed to its report.
Broker Target Prices
What Pakistan's big research houses say a share should be worth — their published target prices, side by side, with the disagreement left in.
Collected 6 Nov 2026 from public broker research · Now covering 18 research houses · Educational only — not adviceConsensus range — stocks covered by 2+ houses
| Stock | Published targets by house (Rs, horizon in brackets) | Range (Rs) |
|---|---|---|
| OGDC | AHL 311.7 (Jun'26) · Foundation 375 (Dec'26) · Topline 419 (Mar'27) · Insight 433 (May'26 note) · AKD 522 (Dec'26) | 311.7 – 522 |
| PSO | AHL 645.1 (Jun'26) · Insight 662 (Dec'25 strategy) · AKD 900 (end-2026) | 645 – 900 |
| PPL | AHL 239.7 (Jun'26) · Foundation 275 (Dec'26) · Insight 412 (May'26) | 239.7 – 412 |
| LUCK | Foundation 615 (Dec'26) / 655* (cement report) · AKD 735 (Dec'26) | 615 – 735 |
| EFERT | AKD 264 (Dec'26) · Foundation 278 (Dec'26) | 264 – 278 |
| DGKC | Sherman 240 · IGI 298 (Jun'26) · Foundation 349.9 (Dec'26) · AKD 389 (Dec'26) | 240 – 389 |
| FCCL | Foundation 69.5 (Dec'26) · IGI 77 (Jun'26) · AKD 88 (Dec'26) | 69.5 – 88 |
| SYS | KTrade 215 (Jun'26) · AKD 277 (Dec'26) | 215 – 277 |
| FATIMA | AKD 175 (Dec'26) · BMA 198 (Jun'27) | 175 – 198 |
* LUCK carries two Foundation figures — 615 in the Strategy 2026 book and 655 in its later cement-sector report. We show both rather than silently picking one; report dates explain the difference (see the Foundation cement table below). The widest disagreement in the market is OGDC: Arif Habib's 311.7 against AKD's 522, on Pakistan's biggest E&P name. Horizons differ as well — read the brackets: a Jun'26 target and a Dec'26 target are not measuring the same finish line.
AKD Securities — Dec'26 targets
BUY-rated unless the source column says otherwise · KSE-100 index target: 263,800 — the most bullish house call on the street.
| Stock | Target (Rs) | Source report |
|---|---|---|
| FFC | 801 | Fertilizer review · 30 Oct 2026 |
| OGDC | 522 | Result review · 4 Sep 2026 |
| MEBL | 672 | Briefing note · 27 Oct 2026 (price then Rs 524.9) |
| HBL | 483 | 9MCY26 review · Oct 2026 |
| EFERT | 264 | Fertilizer valuation · 8 Oct 2026 |
| FATIMA | 175 | Fertilizer valuation · 8 Oct 2026 |
| LUCK | 735 | Cement top picks · 2026 |
| FCCL | 88 | Cement top picks · 2026 |
| DGKC | 389 | Cement top picks · 2026 |
| SYS | 277 | BUY · 3QCY26 result preview · 21 Oct 2026 |
| PSO | 900 | Target for end-2026 · Research video note · Sep 2026 |
AKD's wider top-picks universe — where no target price was published in the summaries we collected — adds PPL, UBL, ENGROH, INDU and ILP to the names above. PSO's Rs 900 comes from an AKD research video note rather than a written report — same house, lighter paper trail, so we label it as such. Note the report dates: an AKD target from a September result review has not yet seen the third-quarter numbers, so weight the fresher calls accordingly.
Foundation Securities — Strategy 2026
Published Dec 2025 · Dec'26 targets with the house's stated expected total return · KSE-100 index target: 214,000.
| Stock | Target (Rs) | Expected total return |
|---|---|---|
| UBL | 495 | +41% |
| OGDC | 375 | +45% |
| PPL | 275 | +37% |
| LUCK | 615 | +31% |
| MLCF | 162 | +56% |
| BAFL | 136 | +40% |
| EFERT | 278 | +38% |
| ISL | 160 | +72% |
| MUGHAL | 130 | +56% |
Foundation cement report — 22 Dec 2025 (prices as of 18 Dec 2025)
| Stock | Price then (Rs) | Target (Rs) | Upside stated |
|---|---|---|---|
| LUCK | 485.5 | 655 | +35% |
| DGKC | 245.2 | 349.9 | +43% |
| FCCL | 57.7 | 69.5 | +20% |
Same house, two documents, two LUCK targets: 615 in the strategy book, 655 in the cement report days later. Neither is “wrong” — they were struck at different moments with different price bases — but it is exactly why this page always shows the report and its date next to the number.
Topline Securities
Total return 48% including a 5% dividend yield. Company update, 19 Feb 2026; the share price then was Rs 293.60. Topline's horizon here is March 2027, not December 2026 — it sits in the consensus table with that label attached.
Topline's wider top-picks list (no target prices published in its strategy summary): PPL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, LUCK, MLCF, SYS. KSE-100 index target: 203,000 (Dec'26).
Taurus Securities
KSE-100 index target: 206,000 (Dec'26). Taurus published no stock-level target prices in the public summary we collected; its top-picks list is: MEBL, BOP, MCB, HBL, FFC, OGDC, PPL, LUCK, MLCF, FCCL, INDU, PSO.
Arif Habib Limited (AHL) — Jun'26 targets
AHL's published targets below carry a June 2026 horizon — set Jul–Oct 2025, so they are older paper than the Dec'26 calls elsewhere on this page. Read them with the date (and the horizon) attached.
| Stock | Target (Rs) | Detail · Source |
|---|---|---|
| OGDC | 311.7 | Total return 43.8% incl. FY26 DPS Rs 20 · FY26 picks · Jul 2025 |
| PPL | 239.7 | Total return 49.4% incl. DPS Rs 12 · FY26 picks · Jul 2025 |
| PSO | 645.1 | BUY · +36.5% from Rs 472.6 · 8 Oct 2025 |
| PAEL | 88.7 | BUY (initiation) · +48% from Rs 59.93 · Oct 2025 |
| ICL | 228 | Pakistan Investment Strategy 2026 · alpha pick |
AHL's October 2026 weekly still lists the same core top picks: OGDC, PPL, FFC, LUCK, MLCF, NBP, PSO, DGKC, ENGROH, AKBL, NPL. Its Pakistan Investment Strategy 2026 alpha picks add PTC, SEARL and GCWL alongside ICL above.
Insight Securities
Two documents: the Strategy 2026 book (20 Dec 2025) and a later E&P sector note (19 May 2026). The sector note's OGDC 433 is Insight's latest target for the stock — and the one used in the consensus table above.
Strategy 2026 — 20 Dec 2025
| Stock | Target (Rs) | Upside stated |
|---|---|---|
| OGDC | 423 | +57% |
| PSO | 662 | +44% |
E&P sector note — 19 May 2026 (all BUY)
| Stock | Target (Rs) | Upside stated |
|---|---|---|
| PPL | 412 | +92% |
| OGDC | 433 | +44% |
| POL | 737 | +23% |
| MARI | 742 | +22% |
Insight's Strategy 2026 top picks: OGDC, PPL, PSO, MEBL, SAZEW, FCCL, KOHC.
KTrade Securities (KASB)
| Stock | Target (Rs) | Detail · Source |
|---|---|---|
| NBP | 149.7 | Dec'26 TP · +39% from Rs 108 · CY25 dividend yield 14% · Report · 17 Jun 2025 |
| SYS | 215 | BUY (initiation) · Jun'26 TP · +43% from Rs 150 · 14 Oct 2025 |
KTrade's Pakistan Strategy 2026, “Rally Stage II” (29 Dec 2025), carries a KSE-100 target of 216,000. Its top picks — whose target prices appear in the strategy's published graphic rather than its text — are: NBP, HBL, BAFL, UBL, OGDC, PPL, PSO, FFC, FATIMA, EFERT, FCCL, MLCF, LUCK, SYS; alpha picks: SAZEW, AGP, AKBL, BOP, PTC, AIRLINK, TOMCL, MUGHAL, HUBC, ENGROH.
JS Global Capital
| Stock | Target (Rs) | Detail · Source |
|---|---|---|
| BFAGRO | 45 | BUY reiterated · Jun'27 TP · +25% from ~Rs 36 · Company update · 30 Jun 2026 |
JS Global's Strategy 2026 — “Beyond the boom — 2026 is about selective bets” (3 Jan 2026) — names NATF its top pick; no JS target price for it appears in the public summary.
JS technical desk — short-term trading targets (NOT fundamental TPs)
| Stock | Trading targets (Rs) | Detail · Note date |
|---|---|---|
| OGDC | 305.78 / 309.00 | Buy on dips · Stop-loss 301.50 · 29 Oct 2026 |
| HBL | 292.27 / 295.77 | 29 Oct 2026 |
| PPL | 236.50 / 240.84 | 28 Sep 2026 |
| UBL | 432.89 / 439.08 | 28 Sep 2026 |
These are short-term trading levels from JS Global's technical desk — a days-to-weeks horizon, a completely different animal from the 12-month fundamental targets in every other table on this page. They are shown in their own table so the two are never confused.
Ismail Iqbal Securities (IISL)
| Stock | Target (Rs) | Detail · Source |
|---|---|---|
| ILP | 108 | BUY · Coverage reinitiated · Jun'26 TP · +33% · 4 Nov 2025 |
| PQFTL | 23 | BUY · IPO note · Dec'26 TP · 11 Dec 2025 |
Sherman Securities
KSE-100 index target: 205,000 (Dec'26).
| Stock | Target (Rs) | Detail · Source |
|---|---|---|
| DGKC | 240 | +60% from Rs 151 · Sherman's top cement pick · May 2025 |
| CPHL | 217 | BUY · Dec target · +106% from Rs 105 · Feb 2025 |
BMA Capital
| Stock | Target (Rs) | Detail · Source |
|---|---|---|
| HINOON | 1,194 | Dec'26 TP · +19% · Jul 2026 |
| FATIMA | 198 | BUY reiterated · Jun'27 TP · Total expected return 31% · Jul 2026 |
| ISL | 149 | BUY · Jun'27 TP · +63% · Jul 2026 |
IGI Securities — cement universe
Published 30 Oct 2025 (prices as of 30 Oct 2025) · Sector view: Overweight · Top picks: DGKC, FCCL, MLCF, KOHC.
| Stock | Target (Rs) | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| DGKC | 298 | Jun'26 TP · +37% from Rs 216.42 |
| FCCL | 77 | BUY · Jun'26 TP · +54% from Rs 50.0 |
Akseer Research
Upside +63% plus a dividend yield of ~11% — a total return of 74% on Akseer's numbers. Result preview, 27 Oct 2026. Note: Akseer's earlier Aug 2026 preview carried a target of Rs 3,024; Rs 2,894 is the current figure.
Intermarket Securities (IMS)
Intermarket published no per-stock target prices in the public summary we collected. Its banks note (Apr 2025) revised earnings −8% while raising target prices ~4% on an improved ROE outlook; its top picks are HBL and BAFL.
Target Price Track Record — did they hit?
The targets above are live calls. These are finished ones — previous targets whose horizons have passed, scored against what the share price actually did. 32 verified calls: 20 hits, 12 misses.
How a call is scored: a target is a ✓ HIT if the share's daily closing price reached or exceeded it at any point between the date it was set and its horizon date; otherwise it is a ✗ MISSED, and we show the highest close it did reach, and by how much it fell short. Prices are daily PSX closes (Yahoo Finance price history, fetched 6 Nov 2026) — a series that checks out to the paisa against prices the houses themselves published at the time: DGKC at Rs 216.42 on 30 Oct 2025 and Rs 245.2 on 18 Dec 2025, FCCL at Rs 50.0 and Rs 57.7 on the same dates. Set-date basis: the Dec'25 rows are the houses' December-2025 target tables as recorded in the KSEStocks database in February 2025, so “Feb 2025” is the recorded date of the table, not necessarily the day each analyst first struck the number. Two calls cannot be scored fairly — one never stated a horizon, the other survives only as an undated summary — so they sit at the bottom as not verified rather than carrying a guessed verdict.
| House | Stock | Previous target (Rs) | Set | Horizon | Highest close reached (Rs) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKD Securities | FFC | 583 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 601.47 | ✓ HIT |
| IGI Securities | FFC | 487 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 601.47 | ✓ HIT |
| Pearl Securities | FFC | 480 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 601.47 | ✓ HIT |
| Spectrum Securities | FFC | 461 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 601.47 | ✓ HIT |
| Al Habib Capital Markets | FFC | 456 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 601.47 | ✓ HIT |
| JS Global | FFC | 440 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 601.47 | ✓ HIT |
| Foundation Securities | FFC | 439 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 601.47 | ✓ HIT |
| Taurus Securities | FFC | 430 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 601.47 | ✓ HIT |
| Ismail Iqbal (IISL) | FFC | 377 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 601.47 | ✓ HIT |
| Insight Securities | FFC | 368 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 601.47 | ✓ HIT |
| Arif Habib (AHL) | FFC | 362 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 601.47 | ✓ HIT |
| Intermarket Securities | FFC | 320 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 601.47 | ✓ HIT |
| Pearl Securities | EFERT | 249 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 233.92 | ✗ MISSED 6.1% short |
| IGI Securities | EFERT | 243 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 233.92 | ✗ MISSED 3.7% short |
| AKD Securities | EFERT | 242 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 233.92 | ✗ MISSED 3.3% short |
| JS Global | EFERT | 240 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 233.92 | ✗ MISSED 2.5% short |
| Ismail Iqbal (IISL) | EFERT | 234 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 233.92 | ✗ MISSED 0.03% short — missed by Rs 0.08 |
| Taurus Securities | EFERT | 232 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 233.92 | ✓ HIT |
| Foundation Securities | EFERT | 223 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 233.92 | ✓ HIT |
| Insight Securities | EFERT | 221 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 233.92 | ✓ HIT |
| Intermarket Securities | EFERT | 220 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 233.92 | ✓ HIT |
| Arif Habib (AHL) | EFERT | 198 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 233.92 | ✓ HIT |
| Arif Habib (AHL) | OGDC | 311.7 | Jul 2025 | Jun'26 | 339.96 | ✓ HIT |
| Arif Habib (AHL) | PPL | 239.7 | Jul 2025 | Jun'26 | 281.52 | ✓ HIT |
| Arif Habib (AHL) | PSO | 645.1 | Oct 2025 | Jun'26 | 503.21 | ✗ MISSED 22.0% short |
| Arif Habib (AHL) | PAEL | 88.7 | Oct 2025 | Jun'26 | 63.04 | ✗ MISSED 28.9% short |
| Chase Securities | GHNI | 1,033 | May 2025 | Dec'25 | 893.89 | ✗ MISSED 13.5% short |
| KTrade Securities | SYS | 215 | Oct 2025 | Jun'26 | 171.30 | ✗ MISSED 20.3% short |
| Ismail Iqbal (IISL) | ILP | 108 | Nov 2025 | Jun'26 | 108.37 | ✓ HIT reached 29 Jun 2026, a day inside the deadline |
| IGI Securities | DGKC | 298 | Oct 2025 | Jun'26 | 248.25 | ✗ MISSED 16.7% short |
| IGI Securities | FCCL | 77 | Oct 2025 | Jun'26 | 59.91 | ✗ MISSED 22.2% short |
| Sherman Securities | CPHL | 217 | Feb 2025 | Dec'25 | 105.44 | ✗ MISSED 51.4% short |
| Sherman Securities | DGKC | 240 | May 2025 | Not stated | — | Not verified — the source stated no horizon, so the call cannot be scored fairly |
| AKD Securities | DGKC | 320.9 | Not captured | Jun'26 | — | Not verified — survives in our sources only as an undated summary; without its publication date the scoring window cannot be fixed |
Scoreboard by house — verified calls only
| House | Targets tracked | Hits | Misses | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arif Habib (AHL) | 6 | 4 | 2 | 66.7% |
| IGI Securities | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25.0% |
| Ismail Iqbal (IISL) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 66.7% |
| AKD Securities | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50.0% |
| Foundation Securities | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Insight Securities | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Intermarket Securities | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100.0% |
| JS Global | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50.0% |
| Pearl Securities | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50.0% |
| Taurus Securities | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Al Habib Capital Markets | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Chase Securities | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| KTrade Securities | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| Sherman Securities | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| Spectrum Securities | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100.0% |
Three honest caveats before anyone trades off this table. First, the Dec'25 rows lean on one extraordinary stock: FFC roughly doubled into December 2025 (highest close Rs 601.47), so every house's FFC target was hit — even AKD's street-high 583 — while EFERT split the street cleanly: the five lowest targets were hit, the five highest missed, Ismail Iqbal's by eight paisa. Second, the Jun'26 calls were struck into a market that peaked early in 2026 and then slid — only 3 of the 8 verified Jun'26 calls landed. Third, the samples are tiny: a 100% rate on one or two calls (Chase and KTrade appear in the missed column on single calls) says almost nothing about a house. What the table does show is the habit worth copying — targets are checkable, and houses that publish them can be followed up.
This section also brings three more houses onto the page: Pearl Securities, Al Habib Capital Markets and Spectrum Securities appear in the Dec'25 tables above. We have no current-horizon targets from them in the public summaries collected, so they enter through the track record — which makes 18 research houses covered on this page in total.